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The Bill Simmons Podcast

BakerMania, Kelce’s New Identity, Cross-Off Teams, Guess the Lines, and Parent Corner With Cousin Sal and Jimmy Kimmel

117 min episode · 2 min read
·
Cousin Sal,Jimmy Kimmel

Episode

117 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Productivity, Fundraising & VC, Leadership

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Baker Mayfield MVP Case: Mayfield's odds moved from 15-to-1 to plus 430 on FanDuel after leading Tampa Bay to five-and-one despite missing top receivers Evans, Godwin, McMillan, and Bucky Irving. His third-and-14 scramble against San Francisco showcased elite playmaking that separates him from struggling quarterbacks across the league.
  • Drake May Breakthrough: The Patriots rookie became one of three quarterbacks under 23 (with Mahomes and Marino) to throw 200-plus yards with 100-plus passer rating in five straight games. He hit eight consecutive 20-plus yard passes and elevated New England to four-and-two with winnable games against Tennessee and Cleveland upcoming.
  • AFC Playoff Landscape Shift: Baltimore at one-and-five faces elimination despite historically strong Lamar Jackson win percentage. Only three teams since 2012 made playoffs from one-and-five starts. Ravens need five-and-one over next six games to reach nine-and-eight, requiring head-to-head sweeps against Pittsburgh who holds three-and-half game division lead.
  • Indianapolis Colts Fraud Watch: Despite best AFC record at five-and-one, Colts defense allowed 320 yards to third-string Cardinals quarterback Jacoby Brissett and struggled against Denver. Their six wins include beating depleted Dolphins, barely surviving Broncos, and facing weak competition, raising questions about legitimacy heading into tougher schedule stretch.
  • Cross-Off Teams Identified: Jets (zero-and-six), Browns (one-and-five), Titans (one-and-five), Dolphins (one-and-five), and Saints (one-and-five) officially eliminated from realistic playoff contention. Historical data shows one-and-five teams have under five percent playoff probability, with only 2020 Washington making postseason from that deficit in 14-team format era.

What It Covers

Bill Simmons and Cousin Sal analyze NFL Week 6, focusing on Baker Mayfield's MVP candidacy at plus 430 odds, Tampa Bay's five-and-one record despite injuries, Drake May's breakout performance, playoff contenders, and cross-off teams at one-and-five records.

Key Questions Answered

  • Baker Mayfield MVP Case: Mayfield's odds moved from 15-to-1 to plus 430 on FanDuel after leading Tampa Bay to five-and-one despite missing top receivers Evans, Godwin, McMillan, and Bucky Irving. His third-and-14 scramble against San Francisco showcased elite playmaking that separates him from struggling quarterbacks across the league.
  • Drake May Breakthrough: The Patriots rookie became one of three quarterbacks under 23 (with Mahomes and Marino) to throw 200-plus yards with 100-plus passer rating in five straight games. He hit eight consecutive 20-plus yard passes and elevated New England to four-and-two with winnable games against Tennessee and Cleveland upcoming.
  • AFC Playoff Landscape Shift: Baltimore at one-and-five faces elimination despite historically strong Lamar Jackson win percentage. Only three teams since 2012 made playoffs from one-and-five starts. Ravens need five-and-one over next six games to reach nine-and-eight, requiring head-to-head sweeps against Pittsburgh who holds three-and-half game division lead.
  • Indianapolis Colts Fraud Watch: Despite best AFC record at five-and-one, Colts defense allowed 320 yards to third-string Cardinals quarterback Jacoby Brissett and struggled against Denver. Their six wins include beating depleted Dolphins, barely surviving Broncos, and facing weak competition, raising questions about legitimacy heading into tougher schedule stretch.
  • Cross-Off Teams Identified: Jets (zero-and-six), Browns (one-and-five), Titans (one-and-five), Dolphins (one-and-five), and Saints (one-and-five) officially eliminated from realistic playoff contention. Historical data shows one-and-five teams have under five percent playoff probability, with only 2020 Washington making postseason from that deficit in 14-team format era.

Notable Moment

Young Billy Kimmel, age eight, demonstrated peak eight-year-old chaos by insisting his exposed penis was not actually out while crying and maintaining a straight face during parental confrontation. His obsessions span death scenarios, tornadoes, and constantly asking which relatives would gain custody if his parents died, creating uncomfortable family planning discussions.

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Episode Transcript

This episode is brought to you by Michelob Ultra, the official beer partner of the NBA. While the NBA season is heating up, the best moments are served cold, just like a refreshing Michelob Ultra superior light beer with only 95 calories. Nothing better than enjoying the games with a crisp, cold beard in your hand and even better to see them in person. Luckily for you, that's where Michelob Ultra comes in, getting you closer than ever with the chance to see all the action in person with courtside tickets to NBA games and more Michelob Ultra superiors worth playing for Enter now at michelobultra.com/courtside. Michelob Ultra courtside twenty five to twenty six. No purchase necessary. Open to US residents '21 plus begins on 10/01/2025 ends on 06/30/2026. Multiple entry periods. See official rules at miglowbutcher.com/courtside for free entry, entry details, prizes, and. This episode is sponsored by Uber eats. Every time I sit down and watch the game, I find myself getting a little hungry, football and food just go together, especially on Sundays. Good thing. Uber Eats has game day deals all season long. We're talking savings on all your favorite eats and snacks, wings, pizza, chips, drinks, you name it. Whether it's from your favorite restaurant or straight from the grocery store, Uber Eats has deals on everything you need for game day. Get game day deals on Uber Eats. Order now. The Bill Simmons podcast brought to you by FanDuel Sportsbook. We are also brought to you by the ringer podcast network, where we have a new episode of the prestige TV podcast. Second to last episode of task, me and Joanna Robinson broke it down, and then she interviewed the showrunner, Brad Inglesby. This was an action packed, episode to say the least. So, you can watch that on the Ringer TV YouTube channel as well. We have new rewatchables coming for you. On Monday, we did sneakers. We're still doing Robert Redford month. We had an argument actually whether this is the most popular Redford movie in 2025. Not the most popular ever, but right now, do the most people like this movie over any other movie. Really fun movie to talk about. It was me and it was Joanna Robinson and Kyle Brandt. So you can get ready for that on Monday night. Find that on the ring of movies YouTube channel as well. Coming up on this podcast, cousin Sal and I are gonna break down a pretty mundane week six. This was definitely the, we're in the doldrums of the season, but there are a lot of fun storylines to talk about, MVP playoffs, Drake May. And then we had a special guest for ParentCorner. Our cousin, Jimmy Kimmel, came on to talk about, his eight year old son who is an absolute maniac. We talked about a bunch of stuff with him at the tail end of the podcast. So it is all next. We're gonna take a break …

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  • by FanDuel

    Mayfield's odds moved from 15-to-1 to plus 430 on FanDuel after leading Tampa Bay to five-and-one

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