The 2026 Timeline: AGI Arrival, Safety Concerns, Robotaxi Fleets & Hyperscaler Timelines | 221

What the heck is AGI anyway? And, how will we know when it's arrived or if it's arrived already? AGI. That's artificial general intelligence. Everyone is talking about AGI. AGI. AGI. AGI. AI is the biggest technical thing ever in my lifetime. I think AGI is a completely complementary, form of intelligence to human intelligence. Is AGI here? Is it not here? What even is it? Benchmarks. Benchmarks are our friend here, enabling us to be rigorous about what we're even talking about. Models are improving quickly and are now capable of many great things, but they also starting to present some real challenges. They are incredibly, convincing and capable of manipulating people already. And this is an existential threat for society. When we talk about AI alignment and safety and preparedness, the only metric, the the only approach that seems to to bear promise is Now that's the moonshot, ladies and gentlemen. Oh my god. So 2026, it's incredible that we're here. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, how do you guys It feels like we're in March, by the way. Yeah. It does. Right? And the first two weeks feel like a total acceleration. Oh my god. Yeah. Welcome to the year of the singularity, I guess, is the, the preeminent comment from the conversations that we had with Elon and from all of his recent tweets. Well, if you if you wanted validation of the urgency of the year, he what did he reinforce it? And, you know, the the ringside seat that he was talking about, he would know better than anyone on the planet. And he's like, yeah, everyone's way underestimating the impact of this year. Yeah. That was one of my big takeaways. It's pretty clear that this year will be one of the most important years in in hundreds of years. Well, I think every year is gonna be the most important year in hundreds of years. The the counterargument is that on an exponential, if if we are on an exponential and not a hyper exponential, every point following self similarity feels like it's the most important point. It's always the knee in the curve. You know, I I had that exact conversation with Neil deGrasse Tyson at an XPRIZE Visioneering event, and he looked back in history at all of the breakthrough years and started quoting people saying, oh my god. This is incredible year. How could it possibly? You know? And so I Yeah. I don't know. I I mean, I I feel like if you zoom out, that's a 100% true. But if you zoom in, there are some really boring years. Like, you know, you have this this no. Seriously. Like, the Internet came out as an explosion. But then, you know, after after 09/11, 2001, 2002, boring as hell. And then, you know, later, you had the COVID years where, like, very little, you know, compared to today. So I there there's a cycle and then there's an exponent. …