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Marketplace

Much ado about affordability

25 min episode · 2 min read

Episode

25 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Productivity, Investing, Sales & Revenue

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Wholesale Inflation Data: Core Producer Price Index came in softer than expected in September, giving Federal Reserve hawks evidence that inflation remains controlled, potentially supporting a December rate cut despite missing key employment data due to government shutdown.
  • Retail Sales Weakness: September retail sales grew only 0.2%, down from August, with car sales falling 0.3%, electronics down 0.5%, and clothing dropping 0.7%. Components feeding into GDP consumer spending calculations registered essentially zero growth, signaling consumer fatigue heading into holiday season.
  • Dollar Strength Dynamics: US dollar gained 3% since mid-September as investors bet Fed will hold rates steady, boosting demand for short-term Treasury bonds. European economic stagnation and Japanese stimulus weakened competing currencies, making dollar the "least dirty shirt in laundry basket."
  • Affordability Linguistics: Politicians now use "affordability" instead of "economy" because it focuses on one subjective dimension voters experience daily. Since 2015, grocery prices rose 30%, shelter costs 50%, and medical care 30%, making affordability resonate more than macro indicators like GDP or unemployment.

What It Covers

Marketplace examines September economic data showing retail sales growth slowing to 0.2%, producer price inflation at 0.3%, and consumer confidence dropping to April lows, while politicians increasingly use "affordability" to describe economic struggles.

Key Questions Answered

  • Wholesale Inflation Data: Core Producer Price Index came in softer than expected in September, giving Federal Reserve hawks evidence that inflation remains controlled, potentially supporting a December rate cut despite missing key employment data due to government shutdown.
  • Retail Sales Weakness: September retail sales grew only 0.2%, down from August, with car sales falling 0.3%, electronics down 0.5%, and clothing dropping 0.7%. Components feeding into GDP consumer spending calculations registered essentially zero growth, signaling consumer fatigue heading into holiday season.
  • Dollar Strength Dynamics: US dollar gained 3% since mid-September as investors bet Fed will hold rates steady, boosting demand for short-term Treasury bonds. European economic stagnation and Japanese stimulus weakened competing currencies, making dollar the "least dirty shirt in laundry basket."
  • Affordability Linguistics: Politicians now use "affordability" instead of "economy" because it focuses on one subjective dimension voters experience daily. Since 2015, grocery prices rose 30%, shelter costs 50%, and medical care 30%, making affordability resonate more than macro indicators like GDP or unemployment.

Notable Moment

A linguistics professor explains affordability is a "nominalized deverbal adjective" that distills complex economic conditions into one relatable dimension, making it politically powerful because everyone considers themselves an expert on their own purchasing power, unlike abstract economic concepts requiring specialized knowledge.

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Episode Transcript

This podcast is supported by Odoo. Some say Odoo business management software is like fertilizer for businesses because the simple efficient software promotes growth. Others say Odoo is like a magic beanstalk because it scales with you and is magically affordable. And some describe Odoo's programs for manufacturing, accounting, and more as building blocks for creating a custom software suite. So Odoo is fertilizer, magic beanstalk building blocks for business. Odoo, exactly what businesses need. Sign up at odoo.com. That's odoo.com. This marketplace podcast is supported by Wealth Enhancement who ask, do you have a blueprint for your money? Wealth Enhancement can help you build the right blueprint for investing, retirement, tax, and more. With offices nationwide, there's an advisor who's ready to listen and craft a blueprint for your future. Find out more at wealthenhancement.com/build. One word, six syllables, the new new way to talk about this economy. From American public media, this is Marketplace. In Los Angeles, I'm Kai Risdall. It is Tuesday today. This one is the November 25. Good as it always is to have you along, everybody. We are gonna get to the newest buzzword about and for this economy in just a little bit, but we're gonna start with data of the government kind delayed though it was. Up first, the producer price index. Inflation at the wholesale level is another way to think about that. Three tenths of one percent higher in September than it was in August. Yes. This is old data, but that's not so bad given, you know, everything. Core PPI came in a little bit softer than what most people were expecting, so that caught me a little bit by surprise. Economist Nicole Survey at Wells Fargo there. Since we are not gonna get personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's favorite, as you know, tomorrow is scheduled. Again, thank you. Shut down. This PPI is gonna matter all the more at the central bank's meeting in a couple of weeks. You have a committee at the Fed that seems oh, they seem pretty split. You have some people who are more worried about the stable maximum employment side of the mandate, and then you have some folks, the hawks, that are a little bit more worried on the inflation side. And so I think what this data does, what it shows us is that it actually gives some evidence because the core PPI came in a little bit softer than expected. It maybe tells those hawks, those people on the committee that are worried about the inflation side, that inflation is not spiraling out of control. Well, yes. But what about the people more worried about the labor market? They can say, look. This PPI data suggests that this inflationary picture, it looks a little bit more benign. Why not focus more on the employment side where we are seeing some weakness? The unemployment rate ticked up in the latest report that we saw. Add it all up. And …

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