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Accidental Tech Podcast

641: We're Saving That for the Egg

129 min episode · 2 min read

Episode

129 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Relationships, Leadership, Design & UX

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Developer Relations Crisis: Apple's relationship with developers has deteriorated to its worst point, requiring not just policy changes but new leadership faces to restore credibility. Even if current executives reversed course, developers would struggle to trust the same people responsible for years of antagonistic App Store policies and communications.
  • Competition as Solution: Opening the platform to third-party app stores creates market competition that forces Apple to earn its 15-30% commission through superior service rather than monopoly power. Developers would choose Apple's store based on value delivered, not lack of alternatives, making the percentage debate secondary to quality of service.
  • Progressive Revenue Model: App stores could implement tiered commission structures where developers pay zero percent on first million dollars annually, with percentages increasing for higher earners. This approach attracts small developers while extracting more from profitable apps that can afford it, potentially increasing total revenue while improving sentiment.
  • Premium Product Paradox: Apple charges premium prices but fails to deliver premium software reliability. Basic features like file copying between Macs remain buggy after decades, contradicting the brand promise. Leadership must rebalance priorities between new features and fixing existing functionality, something not demonstrated since Snow Leopard fifteen years ago.
  • Hardware Form Factor Speculation: The Jony Ive and OpenAI device will likely be screenless, not wearable glasses or phone, possibly desk-based or neck-worn. Success depends entirely on AI capabilities, not hardware design. Without genuinely useful AI that people want to pay for, even the most beautiful hardware becomes another Humane AI Pin failure.

What It Covers

Accidental Tech Podcast discusses Apple's current challenges with developer relations, the Jony Ive and OpenAI hardware collaboration rumors, developer sentiment toward Tim Cook's leadership, and what fundamental changes would require new executive leadership to implement successfully.

Key Questions Answered

  • Developer Relations Crisis: Apple's relationship with developers has deteriorated to its worst point, requiring not just policy changes but new leadership faces to restore credibility. Even if current executives reversed course, developers would struggle to trust the same people responsible for years of antagonistic App Store policies and communications.
  • Competition as Solution: Opening the platform to third-party app stores creates market competition that forces Apple to earn its 15-30% commission through superior service rather than monopoly power. Developers would choose Apple's store based on value delivered, not lack of alternatives, making the percentage debate secondary to quality of service.
  • Progressive Revenue Model: App stores could implement tiered commission structures where developers pay zero percent on first million dollars annually, with percentages increasing for higher earners. This approach attracts small developers while extracting more from profitable apps that can afford it, potentially increasing total revenue while improving sentiment.
  • Premium Product Paradox: Apple charges premium prices but fails to deliver premium software reliability. Basic features like file copying between Macs remain buggy after decades, contradicting the brand promise. Leadership must rebalance priorities between new features and fixing existing functionality, something not demonstrated since Snow Leopard fifteen years ago.
  • Hardware Form Factor Speculation: The Jony Ive and OpenAI device will likely be screenless, not wearable glasses or phone, possibly desk-based or neck-worn. Success depends entirely on AI capabilities, not hardware design. Without genuinely useful AI that people want to pay for, even the most beautiful hardware becomes another Humane AI Pin failure.

Notable Moment

An anonymous IBM enterprise SSD firmware engineer revealed that powering on drives after extended storage triggers internal optimization processes requiring hours to complete. Consumer drives may lack these features entirely, suggesting traditional spinning hard drives might actually retain data longer than SSDs under ideal storage conditions, contrary to common assumptions.

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Episode Transcript

Suffice it to say, there will be future ubiquity discussion on this program. Shocking, I know. Shocking, I tell you. We'll also be talking about Apple products in the future. No. What a surprise. I've been thinking a lot recently about Apple is not in a great spot right now or at least the community doesn't really love where Apple is right now. And what does that mean for us as a show? Because on the one side, I've my perception of the show is the three of us do our darndest to bring our genuine and honest opinions about pretty much everything that we talk about, including when Apple is, as the, you know, kids like to say these days, cooked. But that does that really make for entertaining and engaging programming? And I don't have any answers right now, and I'm just kind of throwing spaghetti at the wall to see what happens. But I don't know what we're the three of us going to do because I don't wanna just continually moan about Apple, and I don't think you two do either despite what this program leads you to believe. It that you know, all three of us tend to do this kind of frequently, but that's not what any of us wants. Like, what are we gonna do if Apple continues to circle the drain? What if what if Dub Dub sucks? Then what are we gonna do? Well, I mean, as I think I said last time we just talked talked about this, the show does since we follow Apple, the show, tone also follows Apple. So when Apple is kicking butt and doing great things, the show is excited about that. When Apple is not kicking butt and is doing not so great things, the show reflects that as well. I think the good thing is that Apple is a big entity, and at any given time, not everything is bad and not everything is good. So even when things are awesome, there's always things to complain about. And even when things are terrible, there's still stuff that's good and bright spots. So I felt like if we just, you know, it would be it would be, sort of we would be doing a disservice to our listeners to pretend things are awesome when they're not. And I think we've gone through this cycle. The show's been around long enough now that I think we've gone through this cycle multiple times, of things certain things being really bad. I mean, in fact, it's it's kind of funny that the last time we went through something like this was a cycle where the hardware was the thing we were griping about. The hardware was bad. They ruined their their laptops. Their their most popular Mac hardware was bad for so long, and we complained about it for so long. And here we are in this new era where the hardware is the best thing they're …

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