Tools mentioned by Marcus Thielen
Software and services Marcus Thielen has mentioned across podcast appearances.
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Polymarket
Recommended“Marcus Thielen explains how to profit from prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi using probability-based strategies that require no opinion on events, focusing on arbitrage, time decay, and mathematical certainty trades over speculative moonshots.”
Kalshi
Recommended“Marcus Thielen explains how to profit from prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi using probability-based strategies that require no opinion on events, focusing on arbitrage, time decay, and mathematical certainty trades over speculative moonshots.”
Deribit
“Compare implied volatility between prediction markets and traditional options exchanges like Deribit. Polymarket priced Bitcoin hitting $100,000 at 60% probability versus 15% on institutional exchanges, creating arbitrage opportunities by selling overpriced retail enthusiasm and buying underpriced institutional contracts.”