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She’s Been to Gaza. She Met With the Iranians. Now She Has a Warning.

42 min episode · 2 min read
·
Miriana Spoyarich

Episode

42 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Career Growth, Economics & Policy, History

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • ✓Conflict Escalation Scale: The world currently has 130 active armed conflicts, double the number from 15 years ago — the highest count since World War II. Spajić argues this requires immediate public pressure on governments to prioritize negotiation, noting that historically no war has ever achieved total military victory without catastrophic unnecessary destruction.
  • ✓Gaza Humanitarian Threshold: Over 80% of Gaza's buildings are destroyed or damaged, with millions of Palestinians confined to roughly 30% of the territory. Spajić warns that accepting bare survival as sufficient for some populations while expecting normalcy for others creates a dangerous double standard that historically backfires on those who permit it.
  • ✓Negotiation Atrophy: Nations that stop negotiating lose the institutional capacity to do so — Spajić compares it to a surgeon who cannot simply resume complex operations after years away. Sustained diplomatic efforts like the 2013–2015 Iran nuclear talks required hundreds of personnel over years; single-day diplomatic visits signal no serious commitment to resolution.
  • ✓Conflict Systems vs. Isolated Wars: Modern conflicts are no longer contained geographically. Iran, Russia, China, Houthi forces, and non-state armed groups across Africa share weapons, ideology, and objectives across thousands of kilometers. Escalation in one zone — such as Yemen affecting two major sea straits — automatically draws in additional actors, making containment increasingly impossible.
  • ✓Language as a War Catalyst: Political leaders who use eliminationist rhetoric or declare that rules of war no longer apply send direct operational signals to anyone holding a weapon. Spajić traces a measurable erosion in diplomatic language over 25 years, arguing that statements threatening national annihilation at forums like the UN General Assembly functionally lower the threshold for atrocities.

What It Covers

ICRC President Mirjana Spajić warns that the world is experiencing its highest number of armed conflicts since World War II — 130 simultaneous conflicts — and that world leaders are systematically abandoning the Geneva Conventions, risking a global war already underway without public awareness.

Key Questions Answered

  • •Conflict Escalation Scale: The world currently has 130 active armed conflicts, double the number from 15 years ago — the highest count since World War II. Spajić argues this requires immediate public pressure on governments to prioritize negotiation, noting that historically no war has ever achieved total military victory without catastrophic unnecessary destruction.
  • •Gaza Humanitarian Threshold: Over 80% of Gaza's buildings are destroyed or damaged, with millions of Palestinians confined to roughly 30% of the territory. Spajić warns that accepting bare survival as sufficient for some populations while expecting normalcy for others creates a dangerous double standard that historically backfires on those who permit it.
  • •Negotiation Atrophy: Nations that stop negotiating lose the institutional capacity to do so — Spajić compares it to a surgeon who cannot simply resume complex operations after years away. Sustained diplomatic efforts like the 2013–2015 Iran nuclear talks required hundreds of personnel over years; single-day diplomatic visits signal no serious commitment to resolution.
  • •Conflict Systems vs. Isolated Wars: Modern conflicts are no longer contained geographically. Iran, Russia, China, Houthi forces, and non-state armed groups across Africa share weapons, ideology, and objectives across thousands of kilometers. Escalation in one zone — such as Yemen affecting two major sea straits — automatically draws in additional actors, making containment increasingly impossible.
  • •Language as a War Catalyst: Political leaders who use eliminationist rhetoric or declare that rules of war no longer apply send direct operational signals to anyone holding a weapon. Spajić traces a measurable erosion in diplomatic language over 25 years, arguing that statements threatening national annihilation at forums like the UN General Assembly functionally lower the threshold for atrocities.

Notable Moment

Spajić recounts visiting a detention facility in Iraq where prisoners said their greatest hardship was not food or sanitation — it was the absence of basic information: what month it was, whether their children were alive. She describes prolonged detention as systematically erasing personal identity.

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Episode Transcript

Facebook knew the platform was causing harm. I want proof. Based on a true story. I respect our users by lying to them. Enough. I'm not two years out of a dorm room anymore. The Social Reckoning written and directed by Aaron Sorkin, now playing in theaters, Raididar. I refuse to believe that the core human essence is bad. Our motivation is not to live in rubble. Never. How could it be? I'm Lulu Garcia Navarro, and today I'm interviewing Mediana Spoyarich, the president of the International Committee of the Red Cross. The ICRC works all around the globe and often in secret, remaining neutral to operate in the world's most dangerous environments. But with wars getting more complex due to new technology and world leaders increasingly ignoring the rules of war, Shvojaric felt compelled to sit down with me to issue a warning about where we all could be headed. We have to understand the significance and importance of the rules of war and why they need to be respected. But first, a quick message. If you're not a subscriber, we have some news for you. You can now explore the times for free without paywalls during your first month in the New York Times app. Just download the app, and we hope you enjoy it. Okay. On to the interview. Thank you so much for coming in today. I really appreciate it. This, I know, has been very hectic. We are meeting just at the end of the UN General Assembly. I wanna start... If you could just briefly tell me, what is the ICRC, and what does it do? We are a global organization founded a hundred and sixty three years ago in Geneva. Today working in roughly 90 different places across the world, mainly in conflict, because this is what we were created for, to bring help and protection in situations of armed conflict, but then also promote respect for the rules of war. Because with the creation of the ICRC came the founding of the Geneva Convention. And then that led to the four Geneva Conventions adopted after the Second World War in 1949. And still today, this agreement has been ratified by all states because all states agreed that there are red lines in war. There are simply certain things that should never be allowed to happen. You know, I covered wars for a big part of my career as a journalist, and the world feels more dangerous and more volatile than I can ever remember. How do you see things? I see it the same way because the statistics prove it. We now count twice as many conflicts as fifteen years ago. We are at a 130 international and non international armed conflicts that we classify in our system. That's the highest number since the second world war. So I think it's time we stop admiring the problem and start acting against this. In my own newspaper, there was a recent headline asking …

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