Skip to main content
The Bill Simmons Podcast

The Best College QBs With Todd McShay. Plus, the Irresistible Jags, the Resistible Steelers, and NFL Week 4 Picks With Joe House

116 min episode · 2 min read
·
Todd Mcshay. Plus,Joe House

Episode

116 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Productivity, Relationships, Investing

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Dante Moore emergence: Oregon's quarterback shows elite passing ability through four starts despite limited experience, displaying Jordan Love and CJ Stroud qualities with exceptional ball placement and field vision, making him a potential number one overall pick if he declares early instead of staying for 2027.
  • Experience matters for QB success: Quarterbacks with 50-60 college starts like Bo Nix, Cam Ward, and Jaden Daniels enter the NFL more prepared than early declarers. Transfers to pro-style systems provide crucial development time, with multiple coordinators and schemes creating better-rounded prospects ready for immediate NFL impact.
  • Club Nick regression analysis: Clemson's quarterback dropped from projected first overall to struggling starter at one-and-three, showing panic in the pocket and poor decision-making despite strong leadership qualities. Lost top receiver Antonio Williams early, but mechanical issues and lack of comfort suggest deeper problems than supporting cast.
  • Justin Herbert transformation: Chargers quarterback displays new competitive edge and confidence under Jim Harbaugh's coaching, showing "prick" mentality previously absent at Oregon. Week-to-week performance now surpasses Jordan Love despite lower draft evaluation, with improved leadership and pocket presence making him elite tier currently.
  • NFL betting strategy adjustments: After starting five-and-ten, focus on teams with actual records versus fluky wins. Tampa Bay sits zero-zero-three with no convincing victories, while Philadelphia rates two-zero-one. Avoid rookie quarterbacks in first starts, teams on short rest before Thursday games, and European morning kickoffs with backup quarterbacks.

What It Covers

Bill Simmons and Todd McShay analyze college quarterback prospects for the 2026 NFL Draft, evaluating Dante Moore, Club Nick, Carson Beck, and others while discussing NFL Week 4 picks and betting strategies with Joe House.

Key Questions Answered

  • Dante Moore emergence: Oregon's quarterback shows elite passing ability through four starts despite limited experience, displaying Jordan Love and CJ Stroud qualities with exceptional ball placement and field vision, making him a potential number one overall pick if he declares early instead of staying for 2027.
  • Experience matters for QB success: Quarterbacks with 50-60 college starts like Bo Nix, Cam Ward, and Jaden Daniels enter the NFL more prepared than early declarers. Transfers to pro-style systems provide crucial development time, with multiple coordinators and schemes creating better-rounded prospects ready for immediate NFL impact.
  • Club Nick regression analysis: Clemson's quarterback dropped from projected first overall to struggling starter at one-and-three, showing panic in the pocket and poor decision-making despite strong leadership qualities. Lost top receiver Antonio Williams early, but mechanical issues and lack of comfort suggest deeper problems than supporting cast.
  • Justin Herbert transformation: Chargers quarterback displays new competitive edge and confidence under Jim Harbaugh's coaching, showing "prick" mentality previously absent at Oregon. Week-to-week performance now surpasses Jordan Love despite lower draft evaluation, with improved leadership and pocket presence making him elite tier currently.
  • NFL betting strategy adjustments: After starting five-and-ten, focus on teams with actual records versus fluky wins. Tampa Bay sits zero-zero-three with no convincing victories, while Philadelphia rates two-zero-one. Avoid rookie quarterbacks in first starts, teams on short rest before Thursday games, and European morning kickoffs with backup quarterbacks.

Notable Moment

McShay reveals he privately recommended Jackson Dart to Giants coach Brian Daboll at the Senior Bowl, calling him the ideal developmental fit despite limited arm strength. Dart's 161-play pressure reel showed Josh Allen-like pocket urgency and composure, making him a potential first-round pick if he continues progressing at Ole Miss.

Know someone who'd find this useful?

Episode Transcript

This episode is sponsored by Uber Eats. Every time I sit down and watch the game, I find myself getting a little hungry. Football and food just go together, especially on Sundays. Good thing. Uber Eats has game day deals all season long. We're talking savings on all your favorite eats and snacks, wings, pizza, chips, drinks, you name it. Whether it's from your favorite restaurant or straight from the grocery store, Uber Eats has deals on everything you need for game day. Get game day deals on Uber Eats. Order now. The Bill Simmons podcast brought to you by FanDuel Sportsbook. We're We're also brought to you by the ringer podcast network. We have a new rewatchables coming on Monday. We did the sting. That's what's coming because it's Robert Redford month, even though it's September 29. Starting in two days early, I think we're gonna do five movies. So, Robert Redford, Paul Newman, an all time classic, 1973 best picture winner, and, won seven Oscars. We broke all of it down, and Redford Month will commence. Prestige TV podcast, doing that as well. We're breaking down task every Sunday night, meet Joe and Robinson, Rob Mahoney. As soon as it ends, we put the episode up. It is my birthday today. Yeah. I'm getting old Again, like, my eyes are looking, like, a little red and glassy, and it's not because I blazed up before the pod. It's because I woke up at 04:45 this morning for no reason. I just woke up. I rolled around, and then I was like, I guess I'm gonna get up. And I got up, and I made coffee, and I watched get up, which had, like, six people on it. And I watched football and, let my dog out and, ended up taking a walk in the morning and just did old guy stuff and got ready for the pod. The telcos got a lot of texts. It was sad not hearing from my aunt Louise today. She passed away in January. This was the first birthday where she would always text me, and this was the first one where I didn't get one. And I I was thinking about her even though it was my birthday. But, anyway, love, Tan Louise. We're gonna take a quick break, talk to Todd McShea, and then Joe House and I are gonna do ringer +1 07. And if you didn't know that Todd McShea had a podcast with us, I don't know what you're doing because it's great. College football, NFL draft stuff. There's some NFL in there too, and he's on every Saturday night with Mensch live. He does his podcast on YouTube. So McShay first, we're gonna talk about college football and NFL quarterbacks. And Joe House and I are gonna try to make a ringer when o seven come back. Let me take a break. Pearl Jam, then Todd McShay. It's the Bill Simmons podcast presented by FanDuel, and the …

Get the full transcript (22,988 words) + summary by email — free

One-time email with the complete transcript and AI summary of this episode. No account needed.

One email, no spam. We’ll also show you what SignalCast does.

Browse all The Bill Simmons Podcast transcripts →

You just read a 3-minute summary of a 113-minute episode.

Get The Bill Simmons Podcast summarized like this every Monday — plus up to 2 more podcasts, free.

Pick Your Podcasts — Free

Keep Reading

Books, tools, and gear mentioned in this episode

SignalCast may earn commission on purchases via these links. As an Amazon Associate, SignalCast earns from qualifying purchases.

Tools

Products

More from The Bill Simmons Podcast

We summarize every new episode. Want them in your inbox?

Similar Episodes

Related episodes from other podcasts

Explore Related Topics

Read this week's Investing & Markets Podcast Insights — cross-podcast analysis updated weekly.

You're clearly into The Bill Simmons Podcast.

Every Monday, we deliver AI summaries of the latest episodes from The Bill Simmons Podcast and 192+ other podcasts. Free for one show.

Start My Monday Digest

No credit card · Unsubscribe anytime