The Best College QBs With Todd McShay. Plus, the Irresistible Jags, the Resistible Steelers, and NFL Week 4 Picks With Joe House

What It Covers

Bill Simmons and Todd McShay analyze college quarterback prospects for the 2026 NFL Draft, evaluating Dante Moore, Club Nick, Carson Beck, and others while discussing NFL Week 4 picks and betting strategies with Joe House.

Key Questions Answered

• •Dante Moore emergence: Oregon's quarterback shows elite passing ability through four starts despite limited experience, displaying Jordan Love and CJ Stroud qualities with exceptional ball placement and field vision, making him a potential number one overall pick if he declares early instead of staying for 2027.
• •Experience matters for QB success: Quarterbacks with 50-60 college starts like Bo Nix, Cam Ward, and Jaden Daniels enter the NFL more prepared than early declarers. Transfers to pro-style systems provide crucial development time, with multiple coordinators and schemes creating better-rounded prospects ready for immediate NFL impact.
• •Club Nick regression analysis: Clemson's quarterback dropped from projected first overall to struggling starter at one-and-three, showing panic in the pocket and poor decision-making despite strong leadership qualities. Lost top receiver Antonio Williams early, but mechanical issues and lack of comfort suggest deeper problems than supporting cast.
• •Justin Herbert transformation: Chargers quarterback displays new competitive edge and confidence under Jim Harbaugh's coaching, showing "prick" mentality previously absent at Oregon. Week-to-week performance now surpasses Jordan Love despite lower draft evaluation, with improved leadership and pocket presence making him elite tier currently.
• •NFL betting strategy adjustments: After starting five-and-ten, focus on teams with actual records versus fluky wins. Tampa Bay sits zero-zero-three with no convincing victories, while Philadelphia rates two-zero-one. Avoid rookie quarterbacks in first starts, teams on short rest before Thursday games, and European morning kickoffs with backup quarterbacks.