NBA Power Rankings and “Do You Believe?” With Kirk Goldsberry, Plus an Eagles/Steelers Fan Base Report With Chris Ryan and Craig Horlbeck
Episode
154 min
Read time
2 min
Topics
Productivity, Investing, Fundraising & VC
AI-Generated Summary
Key Takeaways
- ✓Pacers tanking strategy: Indiana sits at 6-30 but positions themselves for a top-four draft pick to land Peterson, Booser, or DeBanta while maintaining their core roster, creating a unique scenario where a former championship contender could return with a franchise player in one season.
- ✓Trade market inefficiency: The current CBA makes trading max contract players nearly impossible, with poison pill restrictions and apron limitations creating unprecedented trade complexity. Brooklyn's Michael Porter Jr to Detroit represents the easiest available trade, pairing expiring contracts with young assets like Ron Holland.
- ✓Offensive inflation era: The league now features 60-plus players averaging over 22 points per game while shooting 40% from three, making defensive evaluation more critical than offensive production. Teams like Phoenix average 125 points per game, fundamentally changing how player value gets assessed compared to previous eras.
- ✓Celtics rotation evolution: Boston's 14-8 record without Tatum reveals a transformed offense built around Jaylen Brown's playmaking and physical centers Keita and Garza setting screens 25 feet from the basket, creating spacing advantages the team never achieved with Horford and Porzingis in the lineup.
- ✓Thunder regression indicators: Oklahoma City drops from 24-1 to 30-7, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throw attempts falling from fifth to thirty-first in the league since December 10. Their offense ranks twenty-second over the last 12 games when three-point shooting drops below 30%, exposing offensive limitations with Dort and Caruso.
What It Covers
Bill Simmons and Kirk Goldsberry conduct a comprehensive NBA power rankings from positions 30 to 1, analyzing trade scenarios, team chemistry issues, and playoff contenders while examining Michael Porter Jr's breakout season and the league's offensive evolution.
Key Questions Answered
- •Pacers tanking strategy: Indiana sits at 6-30 but positions themselves for a top-four draft pick to land Peterson, Booser, or DeBanta while maintaining their core roster, creating a unique scenario where a former championship contender could return with a franchise player in one season.
- •Trade market inefficiency: The current CBA makes trading max contract players nearly impossible, with poison pill restrictions and apron limitations creating unprecedented trade complexity. Brooklyn's Michael Porter Jr to Detroit represents the easiest available trade, pairing expiring contracts with young assets like Ron Holland.
- •Offensive inflation era: The league now features 60-plus players averaging over 22 points per game while shooting 40% from three, making defensive evaluation more critical than offensive production. Teams like Phoenix average 125 points per game, fundamentally changing how player value gets assessed compared to previous eras.
- •Celtics rotation evolution: Boston's 14-8 record without Tatum reveals a transformed offense built around Jaylen Brown's playmaking and physical centers Keita and Garza setting screens 25 feet from the basket, creating spacing advantages the team never achieved with Horford and Porzingis in the lineup.
- •Thunder regression indicators: Oklahoma City drops from 24-1 to 30-7, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throw attempts falling from fifth to thirty-first in the league since December 10. Their offense ranks twenty-second over the last 12 games when three-point shooting drops below 30%, exposing offensive limitations with Dort and Caruso.
Notable Moment
Goldsberry reveals the Clippers transformed from the most toxic team environment last season to a cohesive contender, with Kawhi Leonard playing his best basketball since Toronto. The year-over-year culture shift represents one of the greatest vibe differentials in league history, driven entirely by coaching and roster buy-in.
Episode Transcript
This episode is brought to you by LinkedIn. If you've ever hired for your small business, you know how important it is to find the right person. That's why LinkedIn jobs is stepping things up with their new AI assistant, so you can feel confident you're finding top talent that you can't find anywhere else. The best part is that those great candidates are already on LinkedIn. In fact, employees hired through LinkedIn are 30% more likely to stick around for at least a year compared to those hired through the leading competitor. Hire right the first time. Post your job for free at linkedin.com/simmons, then promote it to use LinkedIn jobs new AI assistant, making it easier and faster to find top candidates. That's linkedin.com/simmons to post your job for free. Terms and conditions apply. The Bill Simmons podcast brought to you by FanDuel Sportsbook. We're also brought to you by the ringer podcast network, where I put up a new rewatchables on Monday night. We did a mailbag. We started in 2025 with a mailbag. We started 2026 with a mailbag. Got some great questions from a lot of listeners, came up with a couple new categories, argued about movies, talked about heat a few times. Heat kept coming up. Turns out people like asking us about heat. I don't know why. Apparently, it's a good movie. I've only seen it, once or 50 times. Anyway, check that out. We will be coming back with a brand new movie next week. We were doing what lies beneath, which you can find on Netflix where the rewatchables is going to be, officially moving at the end of the month, from a video standpoint, but also still available on Spotify and all platforms and available on video and Spotify as well. Don't forget that part, but what lies beneath next week? Watch that Netflix, listen to our podcasts on Monday. I also somehow this has never happened. I've done rewatchables live. But I've never done a live podcast in Los Angeles. So I've done live rewatchables, but not a live bill Simmons podcast that all changes. When is the day? February 11. Tickets will go on sale on Friday, January 9, the ringer.com/events. I have no idea who's gonna be with me. I know it'll be fun, so you can go check that one out. Coming up on this podcast, Kurt Goldsberry and I are gonna do an NBA power poll, go 30 to one, figure out where Michael Porter Junior should go. Does anyone want Trae Young? What's going on with OKC? Do we believe in Phoenix and the Celtics? Whole bunch of questions. And then after that, Chris Ryan and Craig Horlbeck, they stuck around after we taped the rewatchables yesterday, and, we talked a bunch of NFL stuff. Craig's team, the Steelers. CR's team, the Eagles. My team, the Patriots. What do we believe? Why don't we have playoff fantasy? Whole bunch of things going on. So, …
Get the full transcript (31,554 words) + summary by email — free
One-time email with the complete transcript and AI summary of this episode. No account needed.
One email, no spam. We’ll also show you what SignalCast does.
You just read a 3-minute summary of a 151-minute episode.
Get The Bill Simmons Podcast summarized like this every Monday — plus up to 2 more podcasts, free.
Pick Your Podcasts — FreeKeep Reading
More from The Bill Simmons Podcast
A Radical NBA Idea, Wemby’s Musical Comp, Despising Duke, and Baseball’s ABS Revolution With Chuck Klosterman
Mar 31 · 116 min
Equity
Glean’s fight to own the AI layer inside every company
Feb 11
More from The Bill Simmons Podcast
UConn’s Miracle, Weirdest NBA Season Ever, A Scary Playoff Team Draft, and an Iffy Expansion Plan With Zach Lowe
Mar 30 · 105 min
Odd Lots
Why Laser Beams Are the Hottest New Tech in Defense
Sep 4
More from The Bill Simmons Podcast
We summarize every new episode. Want them in your inbox?
A Radical NBA Idea, Wemby’s Musical Comp, Despising Duke, and Baseball’s ABS Revolution With Chuck Klosterman
UConn’s Miracle, Weirdest NBA Season Ever, A Scary Playoff Team Draft, and an Iffy Expansion Plan With Zach Lowe
NBA Hot Takes, OKC’s Red Flag, and Giannis vs. Father Time With Kirk Goldsberry and Joe House
March Madness Takes, NBA Lottery Debates, and Best NFL Draft Story Lines With J. Kyle Mann and Todd McShay
Luka’s Heater, Wemby’s Bid, and Stealth Winners of the NBA Season With Zach Lowe
Similar Episodes
Related episodes from other podcasts
Equity
Feb 11
Glean’s fight to own the AI layer inside every company
Odd Lots
Sep 4
Why Laser Beams Are the Hottest New Tech in Defense
David Senra
Aug 23
Sam Altman on Building OpenAI & Betting on the Impossible
Software Engineering Daily
Aug 18
How LLMs Are Reshaping Recommendation Systems
The Indicator
Jul 21
Tale of Two Cities
Explore Related Topics
Read this week's Investing & Markets Podcast Insights — cross-podcast analysis updated weekly.
You're clearly into The Bill Simmons Podcast.
Every Monday, we deliver AI summaries of the latest episodes from The Bill Simmons Podcast and 192+ other podcasts. Free for one show.
Start My Monday DigestNo credit card · Unsubscribe anytime