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The Bill Simmons Podcast

NBA Power Rankings and “Do You Believe?” With Kirk Goldsberry, Plus an Eagles/Steelers Fan Base Report With Chris Ryan and Craig Horlbeck

154 min episode · 2 min read
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Episode

154 min

Read time

2 min

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Pacers tanking strategy: Indiana sits at 6-30 but positions themselves for a top-four draft pick to land Peterson, Booser, or DeBanta while maintaining their core roster, creating a unique scenario where a former championship contender could return with a franchise player in one season.
  • Trade market inefficiency: The current CBA makes trading max contract players nearly impossible, with poison pill restrictions and apron limitations creating unprecedented trade complexity. Brooklyn's Michael Porter Jr to Detroit represents the easiest available trade, pairing expiring contracts with young assets like Ron Holland.
  • Offensive inflation era: The league now features 60-plus players averaging over 22 points per game while shooting 40% from three, making defensive evaluation more critical than offensive production. Teams like Phoenix average 125 points per game, fundamentally changing how player value gets assessed compared to previous eras.
  • Celtics rotation evolution: Boston's 14-8 record without Tatum reveals a transformed offense built around Jaylen Brown's playmaking and physical centers Keita and Garza setting screens 25 feet from the basket, creating spacing advantages the team never achieved with Horford and Porzingis in the lineup.
  • Thunder regression indicators: Oklahoma City drops from 24-1 to 30-7, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throw attempts falling from fifth to thirty-first in the league since December 10. Their offense ranks twenty-second over the last 12 games when three-point shooting drops below 30%, exposing offensive limitations with Dort and Caruso.

What It Covers

Bill Simmons and Kirk Goldsberry conduct a comprehensive NBA power rankings from positions 30 to 1, analyzing trade scenarios, team chemistry issues, and playoff contenders while examining Michael Porter Jr's breakout season and the league's offensive evolution.

Key Questions Answered

  • Pacers tanking strategy: Indiana sits at 6-30 but positions themselves for a top-four draft pick to land Peterson, Booser, or DeBanta while maintaining their core roster, creating a unique scenario where a former championship contender could return with a franchise player in one season.
  • Trade market inefficiency: The current CBA makes trading max contract players nearly impossible, with poison pill restrictions and apron limitations creating unprecedented trade complexity. Brooklyn's Michael Porter Jr to Detroit represents the easiest available trade, pairing expiring contracts with young assets like Ron Holland.
  • Offensive inflation era: The league now features 60-plus players averaging over 22 points per game while shooting 40% from three, making defensive evaluation more critical than offensive production. Teams like Phoenix average 125 points per game, fundamentally changing how player value gets assessed compared to previous eras.
  • Celtics rotation evolution: Boston's 14-8 record without Tatum reveals a transformed offense built around Jaylen Brown's playmaking and physical centers Keita and Garza setting screens 25 feet from the basket, creating spacing advantages the team never achieved with Horford and Porzingis in the lineup.
  • Thunder regression indicators: Oklahoma City drops from 24-1 to 30-7, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's free throw attempts falling from fifth to thirty-first in the league since December 10. Their offense ranks twenty-second over the last 12 games when three-point shooting drops below 30%, exposing offensive limitations with Dort and Caruso.

Notable Moment

Goldsberry reveals the Clippers transformed from the most toxic team environment last season to a cohesive contender, with Kawhi Leonard playing his best basketball since Toronto. The year-over-year culture shift represents one of the greatest vibe differentials in league history, driven entirely by coaching and roster buy-in.

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