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Giannis Trade Advice, Duncan Vs. Kobe, Ohtani Vs. the Babe, the Frugal-ish Yankees, and Life After ‘First Take’ With Max Kellerman

156 min episode · 2 min read
·
Max Kellerman

Episode

156 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Software Development, Economics & Policy, History

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Clippers Franchise Curse: The Clippers traded Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, multiple first-round picks, and pick swaps extending seven years for Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. Now sitting 5-6 with aging stars, they face penalties for tampering violations while owing OKC their 2025 pick, creating the most devastating trade outcome in league history.
  • OKC Championship Window: Oklahoma City went 20-1 without Jalen Williams and projects to achieve the best net rating in NBA history. Their combination of young talent, defensive dominance, and future draft assets from the Clippers creates a championship window that may be uncatchable for teams considering trades for Giannis or Anthony Davis.
  • Giannis Trade Framework: Atlanta holds the leverage with either New Orleans' or Milwaukee's 2027 first-round pick (whichever is higher), likely landing top-five. They can package Trae Young, Kristaps Porzingis' expiring contract, and four first-round picks while keeping Jalen Johnson and Dyson Daniels, maintaining their long, athletic core.
  • Championship Team Requirements: No team has won a championship with their best player under six-foot-three since Isaiah Thomas in 1990. The Knicks' Jalen Brunson ceiling illustrates this limitation. Teams need super-tall players (Porzingis, Chet Holmgren) playing meaningful minutes, as demonstrated by Boston and OKC's recent success.
  • Clutch Performance Analysis: Nate Silver's methodology ranked Eli Manning first in clutch quarterback performance, ahead of Joe Montana, based on baseline performance versus playoff elevation. This validates the eye test over pure statistics when evaluating players in high-pressure situations, explaining why certain athletes consistently deliver despite lower regular-season numbers.

What It Covers

Max Kellerman returns after two years away from sports commentary to discuss Giannis trade scenarios, NBA franchise dynamics, the Clippers' collapse, Lakers-Knicks possibilities, Ohtani versus Babe Ruth debates, and his controversial takes on Kobe versus Duncan rankings.

Key Questions Answered

  • Clippers Franchise Curse: The Clippers traded Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, multiple first-round picks, and pick swaps extending seven years for Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. Now sitting 5-6 with aging stars, they face penalties for tampering violations while owing OKC their 2025 pick, creating the most devastating trade outcome in league history.
  • OKC Championship Window: Oklahoma City went 20-1 without Jalen Williams and projects to achieve the best net rating in NBA history. Their combination of young talent, defensive dominance, and future draft assets from the Clippers creates a championship window that may be uncatchable for teams considering trades for Giannis or Anthony Davis.
  • Giannis Trade Framework: Atlanta holds the leverage with either New Orleans' or Milwaukee's 2027 first-round pick (whichever is higher), likely landing top-five. They can package Trae Young, Kristaps Porzingis' expiring contract, and four first-round picks while keeping Jalen Johnson and Dyson Daniels, maintaining their long, athletic core.
  • Championship Team Requirements: No team has won a championship with their best player under six-foot-three since Isaiah Thomas in 1990. The Knicks' Jalen Brunson ceiling illustrates this limitation. Teams need super-tall players (Porzingis, Chet Holmgren) playing meaningful minutes, as demonstrated by Boston and OKC's recent success.
  • Clutch Performance Analysis: Nate Silver's methodology ranked Eli Manning first in clutch quarterback performance, ahead of Joe Montana, based on baseline performance versus playoff elevation. This validates the eye test over pure statistics when evaluating players in high-pressure situations, explaining why certain athletes consistently deliver despite lower regular-season numbers.

Notable Moment

Kellerman defends his viral "I want Iguodala" take by explaining Steph Curry's game seven collapse in 2016, when Golden State's 73-win team failed to score in the final five minutes at home. He argues the moment revealed something about leadership that transcends pure talent evaluation.

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Episode Transcript

This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Sending out cookies for Santa, playing dreidel, communal feasts. There's a lot of holiday traditions, but one that everyone should try is taking better care of themselves. BetterHelp is a good way to do that. If you're ready to find the right therapist for you, BetterHelp can help you start that journey this December. Start a new tradition by taking care of you. Our listeners get 10% off at betterhelp.com/billsimmons. That is betterhelp.com/billsimmons. The Bill Simmons podcast is brought to you by the ringer podcast network, where you can find a new episode of the rewatchables we put up last night, Rocky two. It was the last of the Rocky movies. We did Rocky three, Rocky four, Rocky one, Rocky two somehow last. But it makes sense because it's probably the most polarizing one, even though, me and Chris Ryan, Ben Lathan, we all love it. Unbelievable last thirty minutes, but we talk a lot about Stallone and boxing movies and, a really, really, really fun podcast. So you can check that out. You can watch it, watch it on Spotify. You can listen to it wherever you get podcasts. So, that's it. Rocky two. I'm not sure what's gonna happen for next weekend. I will tip you off on the movie maybe on Thursday. Coming up on this podcast, Max Kellerman has been itching to talk sports for basically almost two years. I think this is the first time he's been on a platform, since 2023 just getting takes off. We had a lot to catch up on. He is gonna be launching a new podcast with Rich Paul. Next week, we'll have the feed. I'll give you the, give you the heads up on Thursday's pod, but you can subscribe to it. It's launching next week. It's gonna be called game over with, Max Comer and Rich Paul, and, we're gonna be doing three days a week. I'm very excited about it. But it's great that Max always wanted to work with him. Really excited to, to pod with him every once in a while. We had a lot to catch up on. We talk about, possible Giannis trades, AD, what's happening in basketball, goat arguments, what's gonna happen in football this year, what happened with Max at the end there at ESPN. We we go all over the place. And, of course, had to end with some boxing because every time I'm with Max, I gotta talk boxing. So one other thing, the Music Box series is coming back on HBO. This week, we have a great documentary about Jeff Buckley directed by Amy Berg. It's awesome. So that's gonna be on HBO on Thursday night, and then we'll be available on on HBO Max all weekend. So, get ready, especially if you love Jeff Buckley. But I think even if you don't even know who he is, I think this is a really, really good documentary. So excited to have …

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  • by Nate Silver

    Nate Silver's methodology ranked Eli Manning first in clutch quarterback performance, ahead of Joe Montana, based on baseline performance versus playoff elevation.

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