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The Bill Simmons Podcast

Five NBA Trade Ideas, a Sleeper NFL Playoff Team, Eagles-Packers, and Week 10 Picks With Joe House

94 min episode · 2 min read
·

Episode

94 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Health & Wellness, Investing, Leadership

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • NBA Trade Restrictions: The new CBA creates significant trade barriers with first and second apron rules preventing teams from adding even one dollar in salary, limiting roster flexibility compared to NFL and MLB where teams can more easily acquire needed players mid-season through creative cap management or straightforward trades.
  • Ja Morant Trade Value: Memphis should consider trading Morant to Miami for Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier's expiring contract, as Morant's trade value has declined due to off-court issues and durability concerns. Miami's institutional culture with veterans like Alonzo Mourning could provide the structure needed for rehabilitation while giving Miami a higher ceiling than Herro.
  • Celtics Strategic Pivot: Boston should trade Derrick White to Houston for Fred VanVleet, Tari Eason, and Phoenix's 2027 first-round pick to maximize assets while making the team worse for draft positioning in a legendary draft class, though Houston would likely reject this asking price given Eason's breakout performance and that pick's value.
  • AFC Playoff Math: Only two spots remain for Pittsburgh (5-3), Baltimore (3-5), Chargers (6-3), Jacksonville (5-3), and Houston (3-5) after New England, Buffalo, Indianapolis, Denver, and Kansas City lock up five spots. Nine wins likely required, making Houston's path nearly impossible at seven wins needed in nine games with CJ Stroud's concussion.
  • Bulls Trade Asset: Chicago should trade Kobe White's $12 million expiring contract to Minnesota for Donte DiVincenzo and Rob Dillingham while Josh Giddey's triple-double production establishes him as the franchise point guard. White represents rare trade flexibility under new CBA rules with Chicago's large trade exception enabling creative deal structures in a restricted market.

What It Covers

Bill Simmons and Joe House explore five NBA trade scenarios involving Ja Morant and Trae Young, analyze the new CBA's impact on trade flexibility, and make NFL Week 10 picks including playoff sleeper candidates and Ringer 107 selections.

Key Questions Answered

  • NBA Trade Restrictions: The new CBA creates significant trade barriers with first and second apron rules preventing teams from adding even one dollar in salary, limiting roster flexibility compared to NFL and MLB where teams can more easily acquire needed players mid-season through creative cap management or straightforward trades.
  • Ja Morant Trade Value: Memphis should consider trading Morant to Miami for Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier's expiring contract, as Morant's trade value has declined due to off-court issues and durability concerns. Miami's institutional culture with veterans like Alonzo Mourning could provide the structure needed for rehabilitation while giving Miami a higher ceiling than Herro.
  • Celtics Strategic Pivot: Boston should trade Derrick White to Houston for Fred VanVleet, Tari Eason, and Phoenix's 2027 first-round pick to maximize assets while making the team worse for draft positioning in a legendary draft class, though Houston would likely reject this asking price given Eason's breakout performance and that pick's value.
  • AFC Playoff Math: Only two spots remain for Pittsburgh (5-3), Baltimore (3-5), Chargers (6-3), Jacksonville (5-3), and Houston (3-5) after New England, Buffalo, Indianapolis, Denver, and Kansas City lock up five spots. Nine wins likely required, making Houston's path nearly impossible at seven wins needed in nine games with CJ Stroud's concussion.
  • Bulls Trade Asset: Chicago should trade Kobe White's $12 million expiring contract to Minnesota for Donte DiVincenzo and Rob Dillingham while Josh Giddey's triple-double production establishes him as the franchise point guard. White represents rare trade flexibility under new CBA rules with Chicago's large trade exception enabling creative deal structures in a restricted market.

Notable Moment

Simmons reveals FanDuel offered to buy out his 49ers under 10.5 wins bet at 85-90% value mid-season, interpreting this as the sportsbook signaling San Francisco will miss 11 wins despite being favored in most remaining games, suggesting the house knows something bettors don't about the team's injury situation.

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Episode Transcript

This episode is brought to you by Michelob Ultra, the official beer partner of the NBA. While the NBA season is heating up, the best moments are served cold, just like a refreshing Michelob Ultra superior light beer with only 95 calories. Nothing better than enjoying the games with a crisp, cold beard in your hand and even better to see them in person. Luckily for you, that's where Michelob Ultra comes in, getting you closer than ever with the chance to see all the action in person with courtside tickets to NBA games and more Michelob Ultra superiors worth playing for Enter now at michelobultra.com/courtside. Michelob Ultra courtside twenty five to twenty six. No purchase necessary. Open to US residents '21 plus begins on 10/01/2025 ends on 06/30/2026. Multiple entry periods. See official rules at miglowbutcher.com/courtside for free entry, entry details, prizes, and details. The bill Simmons podcast brought to by the ringer podcast network, where I have a new rewatch was coming for you on Monday. It was me and Sean fantasy and Van Lathan, and we did snake eyes, the Brian De Palma movie with Nick Cage that is just, just a time capsule of what it was like movies in the late nineties, just to kinda the kinda chances they took and also movies that were less than a hundred minutes. So great times all around. We cut out a piece of that podcast that we ended up running on this podcast on Tuesday if you missed it. Coming up today. So house is gonna come on as always on Thursdays to do NFL pick but picks, but, Picasso had to go into the art studio and, do some trade machine work. There's a lot of unhappy teams. I don't know what's going on with John Moran. Even though it is November 6, it's feeling very trade with y. So we are going to make up some fake trades. Well, I made up some fake trades. I'm gonna throw them at house, and then we're gonna talk about, the NFL slate ringer one zero seven, complicated week. It's all next. We're gonna take a break then Pearl Jam. This episode of the Bill Simmons podcast is presented by State Farm. Having insurance isn't the same as having State Farm. It's like needing the protection of offensive guard on the football field, but getting an elementary school crossing guard. Sure. They're both guards, but you can only trust one to keep your quarterback safe when the game is on the line. So don't settle for just any insurance. When you can have State Farm, like a good neighbor, State Farm is there. Alright. We're recording, mid afternoon East Coast time. I'm on the East Coast. Went through the Celtics game yesterday. Joe House is here. We'll talk NFL a little bit later. Lot of stuff. This is a good House Simmons pod because it's just NBA NFL, just a just a vortex. I went to the Celtic …

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  • by FanDuel

    Simmons reveals FanDuel offered to buy out his 49ers under 10.5 wins bet at 85-90% value mid-season, interpreting this as the sportsbook signaling San Francisco will miss 11 wins.

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