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Odd Lots

How LA Is Quietly Becoming America's New Industrial Tech Hub

36 min episode · 2 min read
·
Chris Power,Tom Mueller

Episode

36 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Productivity, Health & Wellness, Personal Finance

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Reserve Currency & Industrial Power: Every dominant empire — Dutch, British, American — followed the same pattern: build industrial supremacy, win wars, grow wealthy, financialize, then offshore the manufacturing that created the wealth. Chris Power frames this cycle as roughly 150-year reserve currency transitions, arguing the US is currently in the late-stage financialization phase, trading real production for spreadsheet returns.
  • Software, Not Robots, Is the Real Factory Bottleneck: Advanced manufacturing is not primarily a robotics problem. The reason skilled machinists stand at machines is because systems lack closed-loop feedback — they are mentally running trigonometry to prevent tool breakage. Hadrian's approach treats this as a software engineering problem, building digital twins and autonomous monitoring so technicians can load a part and walk away safely.
  • Vertical Integration Strategy — 10–15% Rule: Both Impulse Space and Hadrian use a deliberate vertical integration threshold. Companies should build roughly 10–15% of critical components in-house — particularly novel or secret parts — then outsource production-scale manufacturing to trusted contract manufacturers. The decision to vertically integrate is driven by schedule reliability, not cost economics, because legacy suppliers routinely miss deadlines.
  • China's Manufacturing Subsidy Gap Is Structural, Not Competitive: Even with zero labor and zero energy costs modeled into Hadrian's factory, Chinese-imported components still arrive at one-third the price for some commercial parts. This gap exists because China explicitly subsidizes energy, labor, capital, and export tariffs as national security policy — a framework the US has not matched since treating industrial policy as a financial returns exercise beginning around 1985.
  • LA's Hardware Ecosystem Is Compounding: Southern California — particularly the South Bay and extending to Orange County — is rebuilding an aerospace and defense talent cluster. Aerospace employment in the region declined for decades, reversed when SpaceX launched in 2002, and has since surpassed prior peaks. Companies including Anduril, nuclear startups, drone firms, and 3D printing manufacturers are now competing for the same talent pool, accelerating the ecosystem's density.

What It Covers

Recorded live in Hollywood, Odd Lots features Hadrian founder Chris Power and Impulse Space founder Tom Mueller — SpaceX's first employee — examining why Southern California is emerging as a hardware and defense manufacturing hub, and what it actually takes to rebuild American industrial capacity.

Key Questions Answered

  • Reserve Currency & Industrial Power: Every dominant empire — Dutch, British, American — followed the same pattern: build industrial supremacy, win wars, grow wealthy, financialize, then offshore the manufacturing that created the wealth. Chris Power frames this cycle as roughly 150-year reserve currency transitions, arguing the US is currently in the late-stage financialization phase, trading real production for spreadsheet returns.
  • Software, Not Robots, Is the Real Factory Bottleneck: Advanced manufacturing is not primarily a robotics problem. The reason skilled machinists stand at machines is because systems lack closed-loop feedback — they are mentally running trigonometry to prevent tool breakage. Hadrian's approach treats this as a software engineering problem, building digital twins and autonomous monitoring so technicians can load a part and walk away safely.
  • Vertical Integration Strategy — 10–15% Rule: Both Impulse Space and Hadrian use a deliberate vertical integration threshold. Companies should build roughly 10–15% of critical components in-house — particularly novel or secret parts — then outsource production-scale manufacturing to trusted contract manufacturers. The decision to vertically integrate is driven by schedule reliability, not cost economics, because legacy suppliers routinely miss deadlines.
  • China's Manufacturing Subsidy Gap Is Structural, Not Competitive: Even with zero labor and zero energy costs modeled into Hadrian's factory, Chinese-imported components still arrive at one-third the price for some commercial parts. This gap exists because China explicitly subsidizes energy, labor, capital, and export tariffs as national security policy — a framework the US has not matched since treating industrial policy as a financial returns exercise beginning around 1985.
  • LA's Hardware Ecosystem Is Compounding: Southern California — particularly the South Bay and extending to Orange County — is rebuilding an aerospace and defense talent cluster. Aerospace employment in the region declined for decades, reversed when SpaceX launched in 2002, and has since surpassed prior peaks. Companies including Anduril, nuclear startups, drone firms, and 3D printing manufacturers are now competing for the same talent pool, accelerating the ecosystem's density.

Notable Moment

Tom Mueller described the moment SpaceX proposed catching the world's largest rocket mid-air using mechanical arms rather than landing legs. Nearly everyone in the room dismissed it as impossible — then watched it happen. Mueller uses this as evidence that any physically possible engineering goal is ultimately solvable.

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Episode Transcript

00:00:00 Speaker 1: Hey, Odd Lots listeners, the Odd Lots tour continues and our next stop is in Chicago. 00:00:04 Speaker 2: That's right. Joe and I will be at the City Winery Chicago on October 15th for a live Odd Lots recording. Tickets are on sale now at Bloomberg.com forward slash Odd Lots. 00:00:15 Speaker 1: And of course, a special thank you to Barclays for supporting Odd Lots Live. 00:00:19 Speaker 2: So that's October 15th at City Winery in Chicago. Get your tickets now. 00:00:28 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios. 00:00:30 Speaker 3: Podcasts, radio, news. 00:00:43 Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots podcast. 00:00:46 Speaker 3: I'm Joe Wiesenthal. 00:00:47 Speaker 4: And I'm Tracy Alloway. 00:00:49 Speaker 1: So we're doing our live show here at the Vermont Theater in Hollywood. And one of the things that I know very little about, but that I'm very excited to learn more about, is the attempts to turn this part of the country into a booming part of our industrial tech ecosystem. 00:01:06 Speaker 5: Yeah, so we hear about re-industrialization efforts in America all the time, but what does it actually take to try to do that? And what are the companies actually doing in this space right now? We have two very interesting ones for you. 00:01:19 Speaker 1: Yes, I'm very excited. You're going to be hearing our chat with Chris Power. He is the founder of Hadrian, which is trying to build a new generation of factories, as well as Tom Mueller, founder of Impulse Space, also the first employee of SpaceX. We're going to learn... about these attempts to re-industrialize Southern California. 00:01:37 Speaker 3: Take a listen. 00:01:39 Speaker 4: All right, well, thank you so much for coming on All Thoughts. Truly the perfect guests. 00:01:43 Speaker 5: I'm going to start with, I guess, the question I alluded to at the beginning, which is, what is your narrative for the hollowing out, to use a cliche, of US manufacturing? 00:01:56 Speaker 4: Why does it seem that we lost some sort of edge? Chris, do you want to start? 00:02:02 Speaker 3: I do. And I think the first question is, do you want the accurate answer that's going to take three minutes or the political one? 00:02:11 Speaker 2: How long does the political one take? 00:02:14 Speaker 4: Can't you do both? 00:02:15 Speaker 3: So here's what happened. But it happens in context. So every great power of all time does four very simple things. they have some generative population function, they have the best industrial capacity, and then they win or prevent a war, and then they get incredibly lazy and they end up with a financial industry and they offshore what made them successful in the first place. And by the way, this function is represented in the trade of the reserve currency of the world. So the …

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