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In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Eliot Higgins: How Bellingcat Hunts Down the Truth

39 min episode · 2 min read
·
Eliot Higgins

Episode

39 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Remote Work, Investing, Startups

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Geolocation as a core skill: Satellite imagery from services like Planet Labs, available via monthly subscription, allows investigators to task satellites to specific locations and receive imagery within days. Cross-referencing this with social media posts enables precise verification of where events occurred — a technique that began with free tools like Google Maps in 2012.
  • Speed window for narrative control: When a contested event occurs — a shooting, an airstrike — investigators have roughly two to three hours before false narratives solidify. Once people form a belief, they rarely revise it. Publishing synchronized, multi-angle video evidence within that window forces governments and media to respond to verified facts rather than speculation.
  • Gray-market data as an investigative tool: In Russia, government databases including passport registration forms, house records, car registrations, and cell tower connection logs are purchasable through informal networks. Bellingcat used this data to map FSB agents' minute-by-minute movements across Europe, directly linking them to the Skripal and Navalny poisoning operations.
  • Community scale multiplies investigative reach: Bellingcat operates with 35 staff, roughly 200 trained volunteers, and a 43,000-member Discord community. The community surfaces leads investigators miss, and training others in open-source methods — including thousands of journalists and activists globally — creates distributed verification capacity that no single organization could replicate alone.
  • Disinformation requires a receptive audience: Russian influence operations targeting English-speaking audiences around Armenian politics generated near-zero engagement because the audience had no emotional investment. Disinformation scales only when it amplifies pre-existing distrust or grievance. Addressing the underlying institutional distrust — not just removing false content — is the necessary intervention for democratic resilience.

What It Covers

Eliot Higgins, founder of Bellingcat, explains how his 35-person open-source investigation collective uses publicly available data — satellite imagery, social media, phone records, and flight manifests — to expose war crimes, identify Russian assassins, and counter state-sponsored disinformation campaigns across Syria, Ukraine, and beyond.

Key Questions Answered

  • Geolocation as a core skill: Satellite imagery from services like Planet Labs, available via monthly subscription, allows investigators to task satellites to specific locations and receive imagery within days. Cross-referencing this with social media posts enables precise verification of where events occurred — a technique that began with free tools like Google Maps in 2012.
  • Speed window for narrative control: When a contested event occurs — a shooting, an airstrike — investigators have roughly two to three hours before false narratives solidify. Once people form a belief, they rarely revise it. Publishing synchronized, multi-angle video evidence within that window forces governments and media to respond to verified facts rather than speculation.
  • Gray-market data as an investigative tool: In Russia, government databases including passport registration forms, house records, car registrations, and cell tower connection logs are purchasable through informal networks. Bellingcat used this data to map FSB agents' minute-by-minute movements across Europe, directly linking them to the Skripal and Navalny poisoning operations.
  • Community scale multiplies investigative reach: Bellingcat operates with 35 staff, roughly 200 trained volunteers, and a 43,000-member Discord community. The community surfaces leads investigators miss, and training others in open-source methods — including thousands of journalists and activists globally — creates distributed verification capacity that no single organization could replicate alone.
  • Disinformation requires a receptive audience: Russian influence operations targeting English-speaking audiences around Armenian politics generated near-zero engagement because the audience had no emotional investment. Disinformation scales only when it amplifies pre-existing distrust or grievance. Addressing the underlying institutional distrust — not just removing false content — is the necessary intervention for democratic resilience.

Notable Moment

After tracking FSB agents through purchased Russian phone records, Navalny personally called one of his would-be assassins while posing as a senior FSB officer conducting a debrief. The agent described in detail how Novichok was applied to Navalny's underwear — and the recording ran for a full hour.

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Episode Transcript

Hi, everyone. I'm Nicolas Tangen, the CEO of the Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund. And today, we have a very special episode. We are recording in front of a live audience of nearly 200 people. These are my colleagues at the sovereign wealth fund. And we are joined by the very impressive Elliot Higgins, the founder of Bellingcat, the world's leading open source investigative collective. Now Elliot is not a spy, not a trained journalist. He's actually a college dropout who taught himself to investigate war crimes from his kitchen table in Lesser. He's unmasked Russian assassins, exposed chemical weapons used in Syria, helped identify Navalny's poisoner, and I've been really looking forward to this, Elliot. Warm welcome. Thanks for having me on. So just to start, what is Bellingcat? So, Bellingcat does something called open source investigation. So that's using publicly available material to investigate a range of different topics. And really, over the last fifteen years, what is publicly available material has just mushroomed to just a huge extent. It's stuff like social media posts, satellite imagery available through things like Google Maps or other services, all kinds of things like marine traffic data or air flight data that's also publicly available. So we take all that data, and then we investigate different things, and that's included chemical weapons attacks in Syria, the down downing of Malaysian Airlines flight m x 17, more recently, a lot to do with America's bombing of Iran, ICE and DHS raids in The US as well. How do you decide what to what to focus in on? Well, early on, it's, I mean, the whole field of open source investigation was very much led by, kind of obsessive nerds on the Internet just doing what was interesting to them. And, really, the big events were initially the Arab Spring in Syria, then the shooting down of MH seventeen, then Russia's invasion of Ukraine. And so, really, that's kind of was just a bunch of volunteers doing things that were interesting to to them. But now we have teams who work on financial investigations, what we call online ideologies, which is quite broad, and conflict. And they So how many how many different hotspots are you looking at at each point in time? It it varies. But it's it's like at the moment, we're looking at, of course, what's happening in Iran, but we're also looking at, The DRC and Sudan and other places where there's ongoing conflicts. Sometimes an investigation is a really, you know, multi month month process. Sometimes it's reacting really quickly to events that are happening on the ground in different contexts. Now you live here in Leicester. You got an organization in Holland, but you have a big network. Just how does it work? So, we have the central Ballon Cat organization, which has about 35 staff members, mostly researchers and trainers. We then have a community of volunteers who we train and, we can direct. That's about 200 …

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Books, tools, and gear mentioned in this episode

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Tools

  • by Planet Labs

    Satellite imagery from services like Planet Labs, available via monthly subscription, allows investigators to task satellites to specific locations and receive imagery within days.
  • by Google

    Cross-referencing this with social media posts enables precise verification of where events occurred — a technique that began with free tools like Google Maps in 2012.

company

  • BellingcatBy guest
    Eliot Higgins, founder of Bellingcat, explains how his 35-person open-source investigation collective uses publicly available data — satellite imagery, social media, phone records, and flight manifests — to expose war crimes, identify Russian assassins, and counter state-sponsored disinformation campaigns.

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