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Biotech Hangout

Episode 184 - May 29, 2026

58 min episode · 2 min read
·
Jason Kelly,Brian Skorney,Greg Suwanaway

Episode

58 min

Read time

2 min

Topics

Health & Wellness, Investing, Fundraising & VC

AI-Generated Summary

Key Takeaways

  • Biotech IPO benchmark: Eleven biotech IPOs filed by end of May 2026 already matches or exceeds all of 2025's total. Investor sentiment index reached 120 among finance and investment stakeholders in Q2 2026, up from 78 in Q4 2025. Later-stage clinical assets with phase 2b data characterize this cycle, distinguishing it from frothier preclinical-heavy prior waves.
  • China offshoring risk framework: Massachusetts lost 1,100 biotech R&D jobs in 2024, the first such decline MassBio has recorded, with one-third of lab space now vacant. Jason Kelly frames this as structural offshoring of genetic engineering capability, not cyclical decline. Investors and biotechs should monitor whether discovery-stage science, not just manufacturing, is migrating to China.
  • Alternative financing structure: Apogee Biosciences secured up to $1.3B from Blackstone Life Sciences concurrent with positive phase 2 atopic dermatitis data, bypassing traditional equity follow-on raises entirely. The deal splits into $800M synthetic royalty financing and $500M senior debt. Biotechs with late-stage assets should evaluate royalty-based non-dilutive structures as a capital-raising alternative to bank-led offerings.
  • RAS inhibitor efficacy bar: Revolution Medicines' daraxonrasib achieved 13.2 months median overall survival in second-line pancreatic cancer versus 6.7 months for standard chemotherapy in the phase 3 RESOLUTE-302 study. Full data present at ASCO 2026 plenary. Companies developing follow-on pan-RAS inhibitors, including Rasca and Verastem, now face this doubling of survival as the competitive efficacy threshold to clear.
  • Myostatin combination strategy for obesity: Biohaven's myostatin antibody teldafrecapap alpha, combined with semaglutide, targets the body composition problem of GLP-1 therapies, where significant muscle mass loss accompanies fat loss. Phase 2 data are forthcoming. Investors tracking obesity pipeline should assess combination approaches preserving lean mass, particularly as Lilly's bimagramab showed tolerability issues and appears to have stalled development.

What It Covers

Biotech Hangout Episode 184 covers the 2026 IPO market health with 11 filings by May, Ginkgo Bioworks CEO Jason Kelly's national security argument against offshoring biotechnology to China, Eli Lilly's three vaccine acquisitions totaling $3.8B, and key ASCO oncology data previews including Revolution Medicines' pancreatic cancer results.

Key Questions Answered

  • Biotech IPO benchmark: Eleven biotech IPOs filed by end of May 2026 already matches or exceeds all of 2025's total. Investor sentiment index reached 120 among finance and investment stakeholders in Q2 2026, up from 78 in Q4 2025. Later-stage clinical assets with phase 2b data characterize this cycle, distinguishing it from frothier preclinical-heavy prior waves.
  • China offshoring risk framework: Massachusetts lost 1,100 biotech R&D jobs in 2024, the first such decline MassBio has recorded, with one-third of lab space now vacant. Jason Kelly frames this as structural offshoring of genetic engineering capability, not cyclical decline. Investors and biotechs should monitor whether discovery-stage science, not just manufacturing, is migrating to China.
  • Alternative financing structure: Apogee Biosciences secured up to $1.3B from Blackstone Life Sciences concurrent with positive phase 2 atopic dermatitis data, bypassing traditional equity follow-on raises entirely. The deal splits into $800M synthetic royalty financing and $500M senior debt. Biotechs with late-stage assets should evaluate royalty-based non-dilutive structures as a capital-raising alternative to bank-led offerings.
  • RAS inhibitor efficacy bar: Revolution Medicines' daraxonrasib achieved 13.2 months median overall survival in second-line pancreatic cancer versus 6.7 months for standard chemotherapy in the phase 3 RESOLUTE-302 study. Full data present at ASCO 2026 plenary. Companies developing follow-on pan-RAS inhibitors, including Rasca and Verastem, now face this doubling of survival as the competitive efficacy threshold to clear.
  • Myostatin combination strategy for obesity: Biohaven's myostatin antibody teldafrecapap alpha, combined with semaglutide, targets the body composition problem of GLP-1 therapies, where significant muscle mass loss accompanies fat loss. Phase 2 data are forthcoming. Investors tracking obesity pipeline should assess combination approaches preserving lean mass, particularly as Lilly's bimagramab showed tolerability issues and appears to have stalled development.

Notable Moment

Jason Kelly argued that the pharmaceutical drug market is not a free market, citing that US consumers representing 4% of the global population generate 70% of industry profits. This gives the US unique leverage to set industry rules that China and European intermediaries cannot circumvent through deal structuring.

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Episode Transcript

You're listening to BioTech Hangout, a live and unedited weekly discussion of all the latest news in our industry with a group of biotech leaders and experts. I'm Chris Garabedian, and my cohost today are Brian Skorney, Greg Suwanaway, and our special guest, the, cofounder and CEO of Ginkgo Bioworks, Jason Kelly, and, really glad to have you. For more information about our hosts and guest speakers or to listen to the most recent episode, please go to biotechhangout.com. So first, we always like to touch on kinda market overview. I'll just mention we saw another IPO filing, Cardigan. This was following last week's, Parabolas, you know, IPO, and, Cardigan is the latest filing. It's about the eleventh biotech filing this year, already beating or matching the total number that we saw in 2,025. Cardigan is led by the former CEO and management team of MyoKardia. So Tasos, Gianakakos, is the CEO. He brought on his former CMO and CSO from MyoKardia, which was acquired by BMS for 13,000,000,000. So they've assembled, acquired several clinical stage products. They have three, unique products with different mechanisms in phase two b studies, going after genetic cardiomyopathy and severe, hypertension, and aortic valve, after sclerosis, etcetera. So, they've got, you know, a late stage pipeline. And, again, they've raised, more than half 1,000,000,000, in their series a and series b just in less than the last eighteen months. And so going public, this will be a, you know, one of those, record setting, amounts raised for, and tracked to IPO, you know, within eighteen months, that we've seen. So, you know, again, I think, we're all watching. So far, the IPOs have held pretty well. And just wanted to, you know, ask, Greg and Brian, you know, as we sit here about to enter June, the sixth month of the year, 11 IPOs. How are you guys reading this in terms of we were all looking at the beginning of the year with an eye toward IPOs as a marker of how healthy the the current states of biotech are? How do you guys see it where we are, today at the end of May? I'll jump in first, and and Greg, feel free to correct me with your thoughts. Look. I mean, I I think it's I think it's good. You know, certainly, capital markets is a is a big driver at these companies. All consume a lot of cash. So, you know, being able to raise a decent valuations, raise a lot of money, have an IPO window open, you know, that that kinda makes everyone happy. Right? I think, you know, IPOs and as as things move earlier and earlier, right, that's also somewhat of a signal of, you know, moving into bubble territory. I don't really think it's there yet, but, you know, there's certainly been an acceleration. I think earlier in the year, maybe January, we we we talked about this a lot, I think, on one of …

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Products

  • by Revolution Medicines

    Revolution Medicines' daraxonrasib achieved 13.2 months median overall survival in second-line pancreatic cancer versus 6.7 months for standard chemotherapy in the phase 3 RESOLUTE-302 study
  • by Biohaven

    Biohaven's myostatin antibody teldafrecapap alpha, combined with semaglutide, targets the body composition problem of GLP-1 therapies
  • by Eli Lilly

    Investors tracking obesity pipeline should assess combination approaches preserving lean mass, particularly as Lilly's bimagramab showed tolerability issues and appears to have stalled development
  • Biohaven's myostatin antibody teldafrecapap alpha, combined with semaglutide, targets the body composition problem of GLP-1 therapies

company

  • Companies developing follow-on pan-RAS inhibitors, including Rasca and Verastem, now face this doubling of survival as the competitive efficacy threshold to clear
  • Apogee Biosciences secured up to $1.3B from Blackstone Life Sciences concurrent with positive phase 2 atopic dermatitis data
  • Companies developing follow-on pan-RAS inhibitors, including Rasca and Verastem, now face this doubling of survival as the competitive efficacy threshold to clear
  • Apogee Biosciences secured up to $1.3B from Blackstone Life Sciences concurrent with positive phase 2 atopic dermatitis data
  • Biohaven's myostatin antibody teldafrecapap alpha, combined with semaglutide, targets the body composition problem of GLP-1 therapies
  • Revolution Medicines' daraxonrasib achieved 13.2 months median overall survival in second-line pancreatic cancer versus 6.7 months for standard chemotherapy in the phase 3 RESOLUTE-302 study
  • Ginkgo Bioworks CEO Jason Kelly's national security argument against offshoring biotechnology to China
  • Eli Lilly's three vaccine acquisitions totaling $3.8B

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